Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -6 (73-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| L. Kimble * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Enoch * | 15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Perry * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Johnson | 27 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | - |
| M. Williams | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Williamson | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. McMahon | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 39 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| C. Stanley * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 9-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| M. Hurt * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Goldwire * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| V. Carey Jr. * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. White | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| J. Baker | 10 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter