Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.8% | 22.2% | -6.9 | ✗ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +22 (88-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 35 | 6-18 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Goldwire * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| V. Carey Jr. * | 30 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| C. Stanley * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Hurt * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Baker | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. White | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels * | 36 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 19 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| DJ Funderburk * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Bates * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Hellems | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Beverly | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Dixon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Graham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Farthing | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter