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Dayton

Also known as: Dayton Flyers, Dayton
Program History

2016 Team Stats (13 games)

74.2
PPG
68.3
Opp
+5.6
Margin
45.1%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
68.5%
FT%
37.5
RPG
14.5
APG
11.7
TO
79.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1523 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1453 (#65) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +34.4 (#47) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.379 (#54) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.9 More → 0.340 (#55) NetEff -5.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.1 More → 0.560 (#60) AdjNet +2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.1 More → 0.560 (#60) AdjNet +2.1

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-26 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 82 - 77
2015-12-09 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 72 - 67
2015-12-19 vs Furman Paladins W 70 - 50
2016-01-06 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 93 - 63
2016-01-09 @ La Salle Explorers L 57 - 61
2016-01-15 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 77 - 70
2016-02-06 @ George Mason Patriots W 98 - 64
2016-02-09 vs Duquesne Dukes W 76 - 74
2016-02-12 @ Rhode Island Rams W 68 - 66
2016-02-17 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 70 - 79
2016-02-20 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 72 - 79
2016-03-11 vs Richmond Spiders W 69 - 54
2016-03-12 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 79 - 82
2016-03-18 vs Syracuse Orange L 51 - 70

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Cooke C. Cooke G 14 31.1 16.2 5.6 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.5 12.2 12.3 -19 -1.6 -1.9 43.9 39.1 73.2 1.06 58.0 51.2
D. Pierre D. Pierre F 11 32.8 13.4 8.1 2.4 0.4 0.1 1.6 9.3 13.4 -3 -0.3 -0.4 48.0 42.1 86.8 0.93 61.9 55.9
S. Smith S. Smith G 14 30.4 10.6 3.8 4.8 1.4 0.2 1.9 8.9 9.9 9 0.7 1.1 36.8 29.4 60.4 1.01 49.9 42.8
K. Pollard K. Pollard F 9 23.4 9.0 3.8 0.8 0.4 0.3 1.6 6.7 6.1 7 1.0 1.2 51.7 50.0 48.0 0.84 57.0 52.5
S. McElvene S. McElvene C 13 19.0 8.1 5.6 0.7 0.2 1.2 1.5 5.0 9.4 13 1.4 2.2 66.2 0 66.7 0.84 74.7 66.2
K. Davis K. Davis G 14 25.7 7.6 2.9 1.9 1.1 0.1 0.7 4.9 8.0 29 5.8 3.1 47.1 20.8 70.7 1.18 62.2 50.7
D. Davis D. Davis G 14 19.8 5.2 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.2 5.1 3.8 14 0.7 0.9 33.8 29.7 55.6 1.25 48.7 41.5
S. Miller S. Miller F 11 12.9 4.4 1.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.9 3.0 -21 -1.9 -2.9 50.0 42.1 80.0 0.89 70.2 62.5
J. Crosby J. Crosby G 14 9.9 3.4 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 3.0 2.6 5 0.6 1.1 40.5 33.3 53.8 0.61 50.3 45.2
X. Williams X. Williams F 12 9.0 2.4 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.9 2.2 11 1.6 3.1 43.5 37.5 100.0 0.47 61.9 50.0
R. Mikesell R. Mikesell F 8 6.1 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.4 - - - 40.0 14.3 100.0 -0.04 64.3 45.0
B. Wehrli B. Wehrli F 10 4.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 -0.44 71.7 62.5
J. Gruden J. Gruden G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG