Model Predictions
| Model | Syracuse Orange | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✗ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -19 (51-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gbinije * | 39 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +3.1 |
| T. Roberson * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | - |
| M. Richardson * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| T. Cooney * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | +8.1 |
| D. Coleman * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| T. Lydon | 27 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| F. Howard | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.9 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pierre * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -1.3 |
| S. Smith * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Cooke * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | -1.2 |
| K. Davis * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Pollard * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4.8 |
| S. McElvene | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Davis | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Crosby | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.6 |
| B. Wehrli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
* = starter