Model Predictions
| Model | Massachusetts Minutemen | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +12.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +30 (93-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Davis * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | +9.9 |
| D. Clark * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | -8.2 |
| J. Hinds * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -8.2 |
| S. Berger * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Holloway * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | -3.1 |
| A. Space | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -8.3 |
| C.J. Anderson | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Hines | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Bergantino | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5.7 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis * | 31 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D. Pierre * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +10.5 |
| S. McElvene * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | +10.4 |
| S. Smith * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Cooke * | 19 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | +4.3 |
| D. Davis | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Crosby | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| S. Miller | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| X. Williams | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +6.0 |
| R. Mikesell | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Wehrli | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Gruden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter