Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoochie Smith * | 35 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Charles Cooke * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 24 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Steve McElvene * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sam Miller | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| John Crosby | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Wehrli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley LaChance * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Damian Jones * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| W. Baldwin IV * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Roberson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Matthew Fisher-Davis * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Josh Henderson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nolan Cressler | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joe Toye | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Samir Sehic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter