Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✓ (30.5 off) |
Actual: George Mason Patriots -34 (64-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pierre * | 29 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +6.9 |
| S. Smith * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| K. Pollard * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +8.9 |
| K. Davis * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Davis * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +9.2 |
| C. Cooke | 25 | 10-13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 22 | +3.4 |
| S. Miller | 15 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Crosby | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +6.7 |
| X. Williams | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +8.6 |
| R. Mikesell | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +6.1 |
| B. Wehrli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gruden | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Royal | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.2 |
| J. Grayer * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -6.1 |
| O. Livingston II * | 32 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | -14.2 |
| D. Abram * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| M. Gujanicic * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -14.3 |
| S. Thompson * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8.4 |
| J. Jenkins | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Dixon | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -8.2 |
| K. Murrell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Tate | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Rudy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter