Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Clemmons * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -6.8 |
| J. Uthoff * | 31 | 6-15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +4.8 |
| P. Jok * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -6.3 |
| A. Woodbury * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -6.9 |
| M. Gesell * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Baer | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -0.1 |
| D. Jones | 15 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7.9 |
| D. Uhl | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Ellingson | 12 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Wagner | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Fleming | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Smith * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| K. Pollard * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +10.2 |
| C. Cooke * | 31 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | +10.5 |
| K. Davis * | 25 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| S. McElvene * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1.7 |
| X. Williams | 18 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +7.8 |
| D. Davis | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Mikesell | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.0 |
| B. Wehrli | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Crosby | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter