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2016-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 18.3% 81.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (5.3 off)

Actual: Dayton Flyers +15 (69-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Allen * 33 2-7 0-1 3-4 3 1 2 0 2 7 4 +12.9
T.J. Cline * 32 8-17 1-3 8-11 6 0 0 0 7 25 7 -
S. Jones * 30 1-11 1-7 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 3 -3 -
K. Fore * 28 2-8 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 6 3 +2.7
T. Davis * 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 4 7 +3.4
J. Johnson 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Taylor 17 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 +12.8
J. Moran 12 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 6 +9.7

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Smith * 28 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 6 5 -
C. Cooke * 28 3-12 2-5 6-8 8 1 2 1 1 14 13 -8.8
D. Pierre * 27 4-10 0-2 2-2 14 2 0 0 0 10 16 -1.5
K. Davis * 26 3-5 0-1 5-7 4 2 1 0 1 11 12 -
K. Pollard * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Davis 23 3-6 1-2 2-4 4 3 0 0 4 9 6 -
X. Williams 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 4 7 -1.8
S. McElvene 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 1 6 9 -10.5
J. Crosby 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 3 3 0 -9.2
R. Mikesell 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
B. Wehrli 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter