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Davidson

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Davidson Wildcats, Davidson
Program History
Coach: Matt McKillop

2025 Team Stats (33 games)

72.5
PPG
70.7
Opp
+1.8
Margin
45.4%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
74.6%
FT%
33.2
RPG
14.9
APG
9.6
TO
66.2
Est. poss./game
71.0
Adj PPG
70.2
Adj Opp PPG
#147
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 984 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 997 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More → 936 (#278) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +0.8 (#146) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -2.6 (#201) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.523 (#160) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.7 More → 0.577 (#129) AdjNet +2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.7 More → 0.578 (#128) AdjNet +2.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.517 (#147) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 70.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.450 (#233) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 70.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.477 (#177) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.464 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 129 | GP 32 More → 991 (#184) RD 129 | GP 32

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 vs William Peace Pacers W 88 - 47
2024-11-08 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 91 - 85
2024-11-16 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 76 - 70
2024-11-22 vs VMI Keydets W 93 - 66
2024-11-27 vs Arizona Wildcats L 71 - 104
2024-11-28 @ Providence Friars W 69 - 58
2024-11-29 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 65 - 90
2024-12-06 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 73 - 72
2024-12-10 vs Charlotte 49ers W 75 - 71
2024-12-14 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 86 - 51
2024-12-18 @ Temple Owls L 61 - 62
2024-12-21 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 76 - 63
2024-12-28 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 86 - 64
2024-12-31 @ George Mason Patriots L 57 - 69
2025-01-04 vs Duquesne Dukes W 77 - 71
2025-01-11 vs Fordham Rams W 74 - 64
2025-01-15 @ La Salle Explorers L 76 - 79
2025-01-18 @ Rhode Island Rams L 90 - 92
2025-01-21 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 61 - 78
2025-01-25 @ Richmond Spiders W 72 - 66
2025-02-01 vs George Mason Patriots L 60 - 64
2025-02-04 @ Dayton Flyers L 63 - 69
2025-02-08 vs Richmond Spiders W 71 - 60
2025-02-12 @ Massachusetts Minutemen W 77 - 68
2025-02-15 vs George Washington Revolutionaries L 67 - 74
2025-02-18 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 69 - 77
2025-02-22 @ Fordham Rams W 80 - 69
2025-02-25 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 56 - 57
2025-02-28 @ VCU Rams L 56 - 80
2025-03-05 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 72 - 82
2025-03-08 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 61 - 64
2025-03-12 vs Richmond Spiders W 69 - 65
2025-03-13 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 75 - 83

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Reed Bailey Reed Bailey F 33 33.3 18.8 6.1 3.8 0.7 0.8 2.7 13.7 13.8 2 33 0.1 0.1 47.7 41.5 76.8 2.28 56.4 49.6
Connor Kochera Connor Kochera G 33 32.8 14.7 4.2 2.8 0.9 0.0 1.6 10.7 10.3 - - - - 50.3 32.5 78.4 - 59.7 55.5
Bobby Durkin Bobby Durkin F 33 33.8 13.5 5.9 2.4 1.3 0.1 0.8 11.3 11.2 -13 32 -0.4 -0.5 40.6 35.5 85.0 -0.12 55.7 52.8
Zach Laput Zach Laput G 33 24.5 8.5 3.6 1.6 0.7 0.0 1.1 6.7 6.5 - - - - 48.2 31.5 67.9 - 56.8 54.5
Mike Loughnane Mike Loughnane G 33 23.7 5.1 2.2 2.3 0.6 0.2 0.9 4.2 5.4 17 32 0.5 0.8 43.9 37.4 72.2 0.55 57.5 56.1
Roberts Blums Roberts Blums G 31 15.4 4.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.8 4.5 1.7 4 16 0.2 0.9 34.3 30.5 60.0 0.08 46.4 45.7
Sean Logan Sean Logan F 11 19.0 4.3 3.9 0.6 0.5 1.6 0.8 3.3 6.8 26 11 2.4 3.3 55.6 33.3 41.7 0.51 56.9 58.3
Hunter Adam Hunter Adam G 33 14.5 3.2 2.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.2 4.5 -10 18 -0.6 -1.5 53.4 40.0 61.9 0.08 65.1 64.4
Manie Joses Manie Joses F 23 13.1 2.6 1.8 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 2.0 3.5 4 18 0.2 0.7 53.3 33.3 53.8 0.31 58.2 57.8
Joe Hurlburt Joe Hurlburt G 28 5.6 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.4 0.9 -15 16 -0.9 -10.5 25.6 15.0 71.4 -0.41 36.5 29.5
Michael Katsock Michael Katsock G 5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 - - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Brock Matheny Brock Matheny G 4 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.2 - - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Riccardo Ghedini Riccardo Ghedini G 10 6.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.1 1.3 - - - - 18.2 0.0 0 - 18.2 18.2
Nick Coval Nick Coval G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Phillip Kavu Phillip Kavu G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Luke Zimmerman Luke Zimmerman G 5 1.6 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2024-2025 Shot Zones

567 located field-goal attempts in 10 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Bailey29% Bailey40% Durkin50% Durkin50% Durkin25% Blums38% Durkin30% Durkin32% Bailey29% Durkin26%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Bailey44% Bailey57% Durkin43% Loughnane33% Durkin33% Durkin44% Durkin44% Durkin34% Durkin50% Durkin28%
Misses: who misses most here

Reed BaileyBobby DurkinMike LoughnaneRoberts Blums

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 91-143 63.6 182 Reed Bailey 29% (52 pts) Connor Kochera 27% (50 pts) Reed Bailey 44% (23 misses) Connor Kochera 19% (10 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 68-156 43.6 136 Reed Bailey 40% (54 pts) Connor Kochera 29% (40 pts) Reed Bailey 57% (50 misses) Connor Kochera 23% (20 misses)
Mid-range left 6-13 46.2 12 Bobby Durkin 50% (6 pts) Zach Laput 33% (4 pts) Bobby Durkin 43% (3 misses) Connor Kochera 14% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-5 40.0 4 Bobby Durkin 50% (2 pts) Mike Loughnane 50% (2 pts) Mike Loughnane 33% (1 misses) Reed Bailey 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 4-13 30.8 8 Bobby Durkin 25% (2 pts) Reed Bailey 25% (2 pts) Bobby Durkin 33% (3 misses) Reed Bailey 33% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 8-17 47.1 24 Roberts Blums 38% (9 pts) Connor Kochera 25% (6 pts) Bobby Durkin 44% (4 misses) Manie Joses 44% (4 misses)
Right corner 3 10-19 52.6 30 Bobby Durkin 30% (9 pts) Hunter Adam 20% (6 pts) Bobby Durkin 44% (4 misses) Connor Kochera 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 19-60 31.7 57 Bobby Durkin 32% (18 pts) Zach Laput 26% (15 pts) Bobby Durkin 34% (14 misses) Connor Kochera 24% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 center 14-54 25.9 42 Reed Bailey 29% (12 pts) Connor Kochera 21% (9 pts) Bobby Durkin 50% (20 misses) Zach Laput 12% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 right 23-87 26.4 69 Bobby Durkin 26% (18 pts) Connor Kochera 17% (12 pts) Bobby Durkin 28% (18 misses) Mike Loughnane 17% (11 misses)