Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Providence Friars -11 (58-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bailey * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | +16.6 |
| C. Kochera * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | +10.4 |
| B. Durkin * | 33 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +13.6 |
| M. Loughnane * | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +7.7 |
| S. Logan * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5.0 |
| R. Blums | 24 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +3.2 |
| H. Adam | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +13.4 |
| Z. Laput | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pierre * | 39 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | -11.6 |
| W. Cardet Jr. * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -10.8 |
| B. Joseph * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -11.7 |
| C. Floyd Jr. * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -12.2 |
| C. Essandoko * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5.3 |
| O. Erhunmwunse | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -5.3 |
| J. Abdur-Rahim | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| R. Mela | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +9.8 |
| R. Barron | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| E. DeLaurier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| J. Fernandez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Bonke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
* = starter