Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Graves | 38 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 6-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | -1.0 |
| J. Thomas | 35 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +1.5 |
| R. Braswell IV | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +13.9 |
| R. Rolf | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +3.7 |
| D. Reiber | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +3.1 |
| N. Metskhvarishvili | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.6 |
| N. Richart | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.1 |
| K. Blackmon | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.4 |
| A. Szymczyk | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.6 |
| I. Folkes | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -9.4 |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bailey | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 22 | -4.0 |
| B. Durkin | 35 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +1.0 |
| C. Kochera | 31 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Z. Laput | 26 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +2.2 |
| M. Loughnane | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -5.0 |
| S. Logan | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +10.6 |
| R. Blums | 22 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +2.4 |
| H. Adam | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
* = starter