Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Corbett | 34 | 12-20 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 17 | -4.8 |
| C. Crawford | 30 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -8.2 |
| T. Dinkins | 29 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.9 |
| K. Rozier | 29 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -0.9 |
| M. Hronsky | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -10.0 |
| D. Dixon | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2.9 |
| M. Edwards | 15 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +3.1 |
| H. Barre | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +8.0 |
| E. Wilborn | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4.1 |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Durkin | 36 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +5.9 |
| R. Bailey | 36 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +10.9 |
| C. Kochera | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +6.9 |
| Z. Laput | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +5.9 |
| M. Loughnane | 29 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +2.0 |
| R. Blums | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5.0 |
| H. Adam | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.9 |
| M. Joses | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9.0 |
| J. Hurlburt | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter