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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Mercy Titans Davidson Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% -
Bradley-Terry 19.0% 81.0% -
Margin 5.2% 94.8% +16.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 20.3% 79.7% -
Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% -
Log Adjusted 1.5% 98.5% -
Points Off/Def 17.9% 82.1% -

Actual: Davidson Wildcats +35 (86-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Lovejoy 33 2-12 0-2 0-0 3 4 4 1 2 4 2 -34.4
G. Gondrezick II 30 6-15 1-2 0-2 1 1 0 0 2 13 -2 -27.5
N. Johnson 28 3-6 0-2 4-4 4 0 1 0 5 10 4 -9.7
L. Geeter 27 6-11 5-8 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 17 10 -27.3
T. Nadeau 19 0-6 0-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -4 -15.7
M. Mitchell 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 2 5 -5.7
R. Kalambay 17 1-1 0-0 0-2 6 2 1 1 0 2 11 -19.0
S. Okoro 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -27.8
P. Fuchs Jr. 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Kuiper 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.1

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bailey 29 6-11 2-2 3-4 7 3 5 0 3 17 18 +34.4
B. Durkin 25 6-9 4-6 3-4 5 3 1 0 1 19 18 +29.4
C. Kochera 23 8-10 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 17 15 +30.8
S. Logan 21 1-3 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 3 1 3 12 +24.6
M. Loughnane 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 3 6 +21.7
Z. Laput 17 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 4 +1.0
H. Adam 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 +6.8
R. Blums 16 4-9 4-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 12 2 +13.8
J. Hurlburt 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 2 6 +2.2
R. Ghedini 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 -2.2
M. Joses 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 +4.1
M. Katsock 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +3.1
L. Zimmerman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +3.1
B. Matheny 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter