Dallas Wings
2022 Team Stats (39 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 977 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 971 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1003 (#7) | HCA +28 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -1.2 (#8) | HCA +1.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.5 (#7) | HCA +1.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.444 (#7) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.457 (#8) | AdjNet -1.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.456 (#8) | AdjNet -1.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.474 (#8) | AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 82.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.489 (#7) | AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 82.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.475 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.478 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 974 (#7) | RD 127 | GP 32 |
2022 Schedule & Results
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arike Ogunbowale
|
G | 31 | 30.5 | 19.0 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 16.5 | 8.9 | 26 | 31 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 39.8 | 34.9 | 79.8 | -0.17 | 52.0 | 47.9 |
Marina Mabrey
|
G | 38 | 28.3 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 12.7 | 7.1 | 25 | 37 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 42.7 | 36.1 | 69.9 | 0.47 | 51.8 | 50.0 |
Allisha Gray
|
G | 37 | 32.9 | 13.4 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 10.4 | 11.1 | -42 | 36 | -1.2 | -1.1 | 43.1 | 40.2 | 79.0 | -1.28 | 56.7 | 52.2 |
Teaira McCowan
|
C | 36 | 19.4 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 11.1 | 14 | 36 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 59.0 | 0 | 59.4 | 0.01 | 60.8 | 59.0 |
Satou Sabally
|
F | 14 | 20.2 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 8.9 | 6.5 | 55 | 14 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 38.7 | 24.5 | 90.0 | -0.05 | 51.2 | 44.0 |
Chelsea Dungee
|
G | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 58.0 | 41.7 |
Isabelle Harrison
|
F | 38 | 17.9 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 49 | 38 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 46.9 | 100.0 | 87.1 | 1.03 | 53.8 | 47.3 |
Kayla Thornton
|
F | 39 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 10.2 | 39 | 39 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 47.3 | 34.1 | 83.1 | 0.19 | 59.4 | 53.8 |
U. Thompson
|
- | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
Tyasha Harris
|
G | 39 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 97 | 38 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 41.6 | 30.6 | 80.8 | 1.76 | 49.1 | 46.6 |
Moriah Jefferson
|
G | 2 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
Veronica Burton
|
G | 40 | 16.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 7 | 39 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 35.5 | 29.6 | 97.4 | 0.21 | 54.5 | 44.1 |
Awak Kuier
|
F | 36 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | -22 | 36 | -0.6 | -1.1 | 38.2 | 17.4 | 61.3 | -0.2 | 44.3 | 40.4 |
Charli Collier
|
F | 18 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 45.2 | 0.0 | 71.4 | - | 51.1 | 45.2 |
Jasmine Dickey
|
G | 22 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 22.9 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 29.8 | 26.0 |
D. Walker
|
- | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jazz Bond
|
- | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2022 Shot Zones
2781 located field-goal attempts in 41 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Arike OgunbowaleMarina MabreyAllisha GrayTeaira McCowanIsabelle HarrisonKayla Thornton
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 513-793 | 64.7 | 1026 | Teaira McCowan 24% (248 pts) | Isabelle Harrison 16% (166 pts) | Teaira McCowan 21% (58 misses) | Isabelle Harrison 20% (56 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 189-552 | 34.2 | 378 | Arike Ogunbowale 17% (66 pts) | Marina Mabrey 16% (60 pts) | Isabelle Harrison 17% (60 misses) | Arike Ogunbowale 16% (58 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 73-214 | 34.1 | 146 | Arike Ogunbowale 38% (56 pts) | Marina Mabrey 19% (28 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 28% (39 misses) | Marina Mabrey 20% (28 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 52-129 | 40.3 | 104 | Marina Mabrey 29% (30 pts) | Tyasha Harris 21% (22 pts) | Marina Mabrey 31% (24 misses) | Allisha Gray 18% (14 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 76-185 | 41.1 | 152 | Marina Mabrey 28% (42 pts) | Tyasha Harris 18% (28 pts) | Marina Mabrey 22% (24 misses) | Arike Ogunbowale 16% (17 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 9-30 | 30.0 | 27 | Arike Ogunbowale 33% (9 pts) | Marina Mabrey 33% (9 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 29% (6 misses) | Allisha Gray 14% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 8-24 | 33.3 | 24 | Kayla Thornton 25% (6 pts) | Marina Mabrey 25% (6 pts) | Allisha Gray 69% (11 misses) | Arike Ogunbowale 12% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 145-370 | 39.2 | 435 | Arike Ogunbowale 36% (156 pts) | Allisha Gray 19% (84 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 39% (87 misses) | Marina Mabrey 16% (36 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 53-181 | 29.3 | 159 | Arike Ogunbowale 32% (51 pts) | Marina Mabrey 25% (39 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 26% (33 misses) | Marina Mabrey 25% (32 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 104-303 | 34.3 | 312 | Allisha Gray 36% (111 pts) | Marina Mabrey 27% (84 pts) | Allisha Gray 25% (50 misses) | Marina Mabrey 25% (49 misses) |