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Dallas Wings

Also known as: Dallas Wings
Program History

2022 Team Stats (39 games)

82.1
PPG
82.7
Opp
-0.6
Margin
43.4%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
76.1%
FT%
33.6
RPG
18.7
APG
12.7
TO
80.1
Est. poss./game
81.6
Adj PPG
82.7
Adj Opp PPG
#8
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 977 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 971 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +28 elo More โ†’ 1003 (#7) HCA +28 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.4 More โ†’ -1.2 (#8) HCA +1.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.5 More โ†’ -0.5 (#7) HCA +1.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.444 (#7) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.5 More โ†’ 0.457 (#8) AdjNet -1.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.5 More โ†’ 0.456 (#8) AdjNet -1.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 82.7 More โ†’ 0.474 (#8) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 82.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 82.8 More โ†’ 0.489 (#7) AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 82.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.475 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.478 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 32 More โ†’ 974 (#7) RD 127 | GP 32

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-05-07 vs Atlanta Dream L 59 - 66
2022-05-13 @ Washington Mystics W 94 - 86
2022-05-15 @ New York Liberty W 81 - 71
2022-05-17 vs Washington Mystics L 68 - 84
2022-05-19 @ Phoenix Mercury W 94 - 84
2022-05-21 vs Minnesota Lynx W 94 - 78
2022-05-24 @ Connecticut Sun W 85 - 77
2022-05-26 @ Connecticut Sun L 68 - 99
2022-05-31 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 91 - 93
2022-06-03 @ Seattle Storm W 68 - 51
2022-06-05 @ Las Vegas Aces L 78 - 84
2022-06-10 vs Seattle Storm L 88 - 89
2022-06-12 vs Seattle Storm L 79 - 84
2022-06-15 vs Las Vegas Aces L 84 - 92
2022-06-17 vs Phoenix Mercury W 93 - 88
2022-06-19 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 92 - 82
2022-06-21 @ Atlanta Dream L 75 - 80
2022-06-23 vs Indiana Fever W 94 - 68
2022-06-25 vs Phoenix Mercury L 72 - 83
2022-06-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 64 - 92
2022-07-01 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 89 - 97
2022-07-05 vs Connecticut Sun W 82 - 71
2022-07-12 @ Seattle Storm L 74 - 83
2022-07-14 @ Minnesota Lynx W 92 - 87
2022-07-16 vs Chicago Sky L 81 - 89
2022-07-22 @ Chicago Sky L 83 - 89
2022-07-24 @ Indiana Fever W 96 - 86
2022-07-28 vs Washington Mystics L 77 - 87
2022-07-30 @ Atlanta Dream W 81 - 68
2022-08-02 @ Chicago Sky W 84 - 78
2022-08-04 vs Las Vegas Aces W 82 - 80
2022-08-06 vs Indiana Fever W 95 - 91
2022-08-08 vs New York Liberty W 86 - 77
2022-08-10 vs New York Liberty L 73 - 91
2022-08-12 @ Phoenix Mercury L 74 - 86
2022-08-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 116 - 88
2022-08-18 @ Connecticut Sun L 68 - 93
2022-08-21 @ Connecticut Sun W 89 - 79
2022-08-24 vs Connecticut Sun L 58 - 73

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Arike Ogunbowale Arike Ogunbowale G 31 30.5 19.0 3.2 3.5 1.5 0.1 1.7 16.5 8.9 26 31 0.8 0.8 39.8 34.9 79.8 -0.17 52.0 47.9
Marina Mabrey Marina Mabrey G 38 28.3 14.0 3.7 3.5 0.8 0.4 2.6 12.7 7.1 25 37 0.7 0.7 42.7 36.1 69.9 0.47 51.8 50.0
Allisha Gray Allisha Gray G 37 32.9 13.4 4.7 2.8 1.2 0.8 1.3 10.4 11.1 -42 36 -1.2 -1.1 43.1 40.2 79.0 -1.28 56.7 52.2
Teaira McCowan Teaira McCowan C 36 19.4 10.9 7.2 0.8 0.3 0.8 1.8 7.1 11.1 14 36 0.4 0.5 59.0 0 59.4 0.01 60.8 59.0
Satou Sabally Satou Sabally F 14 20.2 10.4 4.1 2.3 0.4 0.2 1.9 8.9 6.5 55 14 3.9 5.2 38.7 24.5 90.0 -0.05 51.2 44.0
Chelsea Dungee Chelsea Dungee G 1 21.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 - - - - 33.3 33.3 100.0 - 58.0 41.7
Isabelle Harrison Isabelle Harrison F 38 17.9 8.5 4.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.2 6.9 6.5 49 38 1.3 1.9 46.9 100.0 87.1 1.03 53.8 47.3
Kayla Thornton Kayla Thornton F 39 29.0 8.0 5.8 1.8 1.0 0.6 1.2 5.8 10.2 39 39 1.0 1.1 47.3 34.1 83.1 0.19 59.4 53.8
U. Thompson U. Thompson - 1 24.0 8.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 17.0 - - - - 80.0 0 0 - 80.0 80.0
Tyasha Harris Tyasha Harris G 39 16.1 5.1 1.0 2.8 0.4 0.1 1.2 4.9 3.4 97 38 2.6 3.7 41.6 30.6 80.8 1.76 49.1 46.6
Moriah Jefferson Moriah Jefferson G 2 9.0 4.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.0 - - - - 80.0 0 0 - 80.0 80.0
Veronica Burton Veronica Burton G 40 16.2 3.0 1.6 2.1 1.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 4.7 7 39 0.2 0.3 35.5 29.6 97.4 0.21 54.5 44.1
Awak Kuier Awak Kuier F 36 12.0 2.5 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.5 2.5 4.0 -22 36 -0.6 -1.1 38.2 17.4 61.3 -0.2 44.3 40.4
Charli Collier Charli Collier F 18 5.3 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.7 - - - - 45.2 0.0 71.4 - 51.1 45.2
Jasmine Dickey Jasmine Dickey G 22 5.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.2 0.0 - - - - 22.9 50.0 66.7 - 29.8 26.0
D. Walker D. Walker - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jazz Bond Jazz Bond - 1 7.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2022 Shot Zones

2781 located field-goal attempts in 41 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

McCowan24% Ogunbowale17% Ogunbowale38% Mabrey29% Mabrey28% Ogunbowale33% Thornton25% Ogunbowale36% Ogunbowale32% Gray36%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
McCowan21% Harrison17% Ogunbowale28% Mabrey31% Mabrey22% Ogunbowale29% Gray69% Ogunbowale39% Ogunbowale26% Gray25%
Misses: who misses most here

Arike OgunbowaleMarina MabreyAllisha GrayTeaira McCowanIsabelle HarrisonKayla Thornton

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 513-793 64.7 1026 Teaira McCowan 24% (248 pts) Isabelle Harrison 16% (166 pts) Teaira McCowan 21% (58 misses) Isabelle Harrison 20% (56 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 189-552 34.2 378 Arike Ogunbowale 17% (66 pts) Marina Mabrey 16% (60 pts) Isabelle Harrison 17% (60 misses) Arike Ogunbowale 16% (58 misses)
Mid-range left 73-214 34.1 146 Arike Ogunbowale 38% (56 pts) Marina Mabrey 19% (28 pts) Arike Ogunbowale 28% (39 misses) Marina Mabrey 20% (28 misses)
Mid-range center 52-129 40.3 104 Marina Mabrey 29% (30 pts) Tyasha Harris 21% (22 pts) Marina Mabrey 31% (24 misses) Allisha Gray 18% (14 misses)
Mid-range right 76-185 41.1 152 Marina Mabrey 28% (42 pts) Tyasha Harris 18% (28 pts) Marina Mabrey 22% (24 misses) Arike Ogunbowale 16% (17 misses)
Left corner 3 9-30 30.0 27 Arike Ogunbowale 33% (9 pts) Marina Mabrey 33% (9 pts) Arike Ogunbowale 29% (6 misses) Allisha Gray 14% (3 misses)
Right corner 3 8-24 33.3 24 Kayla Thornton 25% (6 pts) Marina Mabrey 25% (6 pts) Allisha Gray 69% (11 misses) Arike Ogunbowale 12% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 145-370 39.2 435 Arike Ogunbowale 36% (156 pts) Allisha Gray 19% (84 pts) Arike Ogunbowale 39% (87 misses) Marina Mabrey 16% (36 misses)
Above-break 3 center 53-181 29.3 159 Arike Ogunbowale 32% (51 pts) Marina Mabrey 25% (39 pts) Arike Ogunbowale 26% (33 misses) Marina Mabrey 25% (32 misses)
Above-break 3 right 104-303 34.3 312 Allisha Gray 36% (111 pts) Marina Mabrey 27% (84 pts) Allisha Gray 25% (50 misses) Marina Mabrey 25% (49 misses)