Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | +5.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -10 (79-89). Ratings: 2023 season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Marina Mabrey * | 32 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Veronica Burton * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kayla Thornton * | 27 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 23 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 10 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Awak Kuier | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 21 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 23 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 16 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Nia Clouden | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Joyner Holmes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter