Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +31 (99-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogunbowale | 31 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 3 | - |
| S. Sabally | 30 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Gray | 25 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| K. Thornton | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| I. Harrison | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Harris | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. McCowan | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| V. Burton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Kuier | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Dickey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hiedeman | 31 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| B. Jones | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| D. Bonner | 29 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 24 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Thomas | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Williams | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Carrington | 17 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Y. Anderson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Holmes | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Clouden | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter