Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | +0.2 | β (27.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | -7.0 | β (35.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | β |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +28 (92-64). Ratings: 2023 season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey * | 28 | 1-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 25 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Thornton * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tyasha Harris * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Awak Kuier | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jasmine Dickey | 17 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Charli Collier | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moriah Jefferson * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Aerial Powers * | 27 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Damiris Dantas * | 22 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 16 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Nikolina MiliΔ | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter