Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thornton | 37 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 36 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Gray | 35 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 24 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| V. Burton | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| I. Harrison | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. McCowan | 17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Collier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Kuier | 3 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 36 | 5-19 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 30 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| A. McDonald | 29 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| A. Durr | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Billings | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Mompremier | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Slocum | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter