Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thornton | 37 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Gray | 34 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 32 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. McCowan | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Harris | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| V. Burton | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Kuier | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| I. Harrison | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Peddy | 37 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 35 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| J. Simms | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| B. Turner | 33 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. DeShields | 32 | 10-21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Y. Turner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Davis | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Gray | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter