Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -11 (72-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 37 | 11-25 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 9 | - |
| S. Peddy | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| B. Turner | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 27 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. DeShields | 25 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogunbowale | 35 | 10-23 | 3-13 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| K. Thornton | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Harris | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| I. Harrison | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| A. Kuier | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 22 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. McCowan | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| V. Burton | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Dickey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter