Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | +7.9 | ✗ (18.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +12.9 | ✗ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -11 (72-83). Ratings: 2023 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 36 | 11-25 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Diana Taurasi * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Diamond DeShields | 25 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Megan Gustafson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sam Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 34 | 10-23 | 3-13 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kayla Thornton * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isabelle Harrison * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Marina Mabrey * | 21 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Teaira McCowan * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyasha Harris | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Awak Kuier | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Veronica Burton | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jasmine Dickey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter