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Chicago State

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Also known as: Chicago State Cougars
Program History
Coach: Landon Bussie

2012 Team Stats (2 games)

59.5
PPG
70.5
Opp
-11.0
Margin
35.9%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
71.9%
FT%
36.0
RPG
11.5
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.1
Adj PPG
76.2
Adj Opp PPG
#341
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 507 (#345) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 637 (#339) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 856 (#329) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -17.9 (#340) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -14.9 (#332) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.053 (#342) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.1 More → 0.046 (#338) AdjNet -26.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.4 More → 0.044 (#338) AdjNet -26.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 76.2 More → 0.174 (#341) AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 76.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.282 (#331) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.130 (#337) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.145 (#336) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 163 | GP 26 More → 638 (#336) RD 163 | GP 26

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 53 - 96
2011-11-13 @ Creighton Bluejays L 61 - 95
2011-11-19 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 70 - 87
2011-11-21 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 69 - 75
2011-11-25 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 57 - 73
2011-11-27 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 43 - 90
2011-11-30 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 41 - 85
2011-12-03 vs Toledo Rockets L 61 - 73
2011-12-10 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 95 - 102
2011-12-14 @ Wichita State Shockers L 44 - 94
2011-12-17 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 49 - 64
2011-12-21 vs Oregon State Beavers L 66 - 92
2011-12-23 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 60 - 95
2011-12-31 @ Ball State Cardinals L 58 - 86
2012-01-06 @ Air Force Falcons L 54 - 68
2012-01-10 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 65 - 73
2012-01-15 vs St. Francis Illinois Fighting Saints W 91 - 63
2012-01-19 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros L 65 - 72
2012-01-26 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 56 - 65
2012-01-28 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 61 - 71
2012-02-04 vs NJIT Highlanders L 64 - 73
2012-02-07 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 63 - 57
2012-02-09 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 69 - 75
2012-02-16 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 65 - 56
2012-02-18 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros L 70 - 74
2012-02-25 vs Urbana Blue Knights L 55 - 59
2012-02-29 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 70 - 81
2012-03-03 @ NJIT Highlanders L 50 - 58

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremy Robinson Jeremy Robinson F 28 29.0 13.3 7.2 1.1 0.9 1.5 3.1 3.2 17.8 -175 12 -14.6 -22.2 43.3 33.3 54.5 -2.26 170.5 47.2
Lee Fisher Lee Fisher F 28 35.4 12.6 8.1 2.2 1.4 0.6 3.0 2.4 19.6 -216 12 -18.0 -22.0 36.4 25.0 68.3 -3.85 210.6 40.2
Matt Samuels Matt Samuels G 28 28.2 11.1 3.2 1.8 1.0 0.1 2.8 2.0 12.4 -147 12 -12.2 -17.6 35.7 35.3 67.5 1.14 210.6 41.1
Ardarius Simmons Ardarius Simmons G 28 32.0 9.1 1.8 2.8 1.1 0.0 2.0 2.3 10.4 -204 12 -17.0 -23.2 40.6 33.3 80.0 -5.34 185.7 46.1
Clarke Rosenberg Clarke Rosenberg G 28 21.0 5.0 3.0 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.9 1.0 7.1 -117 12 -9.8 -19.7 28.6 0.0 77.8 -2.39 219.0 28.6
D'Jari Nelson D'Jari Nelson F 28 19.9 3.9 2.8 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.5 0.8 5.9 -109 12 -9.1 -17.7 47.8 16.7 71.4 -0.58 210.9 50.0
Aaron Williams Aaron Williams F 28 13.8 3.3 2.2 0.5 0.8 0.2 1.4 1.0 4.7 -86 12 -7.2 -24.4 28.6 16.7 50.0 -2.84 156.2 32.1
Jacobby Anderson Jacobby Anderson G 24 14.6 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.9 1.0 3.2 -48 9 -5.3 -18.4 33.3 34.8 100.0 -1.9 133.9 50.0
Quincy Ukaigwe Quincy Ukaigwe C 21 9.3 1.0 2.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.2 3.0 -64 9 -7.1 -42.6 100.0 0 0.0 -4.99 225.4 100.0
Francisco Concepcion Francisco Concepcion - 3 6.3 0.0 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nate Henry Nate Henry - 4 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.8 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG