Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | -8.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.9% | 18.1% | -8.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars -6 (69-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Huff | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 31 | - |
| Aaron Anderson | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Patrick Mitchell | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Brandon Brekke | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Webb | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Josh Schuler | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Allard | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mitch Wilmer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lenny Antwi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardarius Simmons | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Lee Fisher | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Matt Samuels | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 27 | - |
| Clarke Rosenberg | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Robinson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Quincy Ukaigwe | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D'Jari Nelson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jacobby Anderson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter