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2012-01-19

Model Predictions

Model UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Chicago State Cougars Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 71.3% 28.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.0% 28.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago State Cougars -7 (65-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Provost 35 4-8 4-7 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 14 6 -
Aaron Urbanus 34 3-10 2-7 4-4 7 3 2 0 6 12 8 -
Nick Weiermiller 28 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 8 4 -
Earl Jefferson 24 1-5 0-1 2-4 7 1 0 0 3 4 4 -
J. Delgado 21 5-5 0-0 4-4 4 1 1 1 2 14 14 -
Jared Maree 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 5 4 -
Ruben Cabrera 15 2-7 1-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Josh Cleveland 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 1 5 -
Enrique Mason 12 1-2 0-0 6-6 1 1 0 0 1 8 7 -

Chicago State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ardarius Simmons 40 6-13 1-5 3-4 1 5 2 0 0 16 11 -
Lee Fisher 40 3-10 1-3 3-6 6 1 1 1 3 10 6 -
Jeremy Robinson 33 7-14 2-3 5-10 8 2 4 2 1 21 22 -
Matt Samuels 26 4-8 1-2 7-9 5 2 2 0 4 16 13 -
D'Jari Nelson 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 2 1 -
Clarke Rosenberg 21 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 -4 -
Jacobby Anderson 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Aaron Williams 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter