Model Predictions
| Model | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | โ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | โ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | โ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars -7 (65-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Provost | 35 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Urbanus | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nick Weiermiller | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Earl Jefferson | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Delgado | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jared Maree | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ruben Cabrera | 15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Josh Cleveland | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Enrique Mason | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardarius Simmons | 40 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Lee Fisher | 40 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Robinson | 33 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 5-10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Matt Samuels | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D'Jari Nelson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Clarke Rosenberg | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jacobby Anderson | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter