Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +19.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +28 (86-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Samuels * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Lee Fisher * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Jeremy Robinson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Clarke Rosenberg * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D'Jari Nelson | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ardarius Simmons | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jacobby Anderson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quincy Ukaigwe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrae Robinson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jarrod Jones * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Chris Bond * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Randy Davis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Koch * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jesse Berry | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Matt Kamieniecki | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Jauwan Scaife | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Player #56385 | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Pierre Sneed | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Zach Fields | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zeke Chapman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter