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Baylor

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Baylor Bears, Baylor
Program History
Coach: Scott Drew

2021 Team Stats (23 games)

82.3
PPG
65.1
Opp
+17.2
Margin
48.6%
FG%
39.9%
3P%
72.0%
FT%
35.6
RPG
16.7
APG
11.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
83.8
Adj PPG
61.5
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1605 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1461 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 1274 (#1) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → +24.2 (#2) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → +24.5 (#3) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.938 (#3) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +32.9 More → 0.979 (#2) AdjNet +32.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.3 More → 0.979 (#2) AdjNet +33.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 61.5 More → 0.884 (#2) AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 61.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 62.6 More → 0.830 (#2) AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 62.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.935 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.929 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 30 More → 1492 (#2) RD 99 | GP 30

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-28 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 112 - 82
2020-11-29 vs Washington Huskies W 86 - 52
2020-12-02 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 82 - 69
2020-12-05 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs - Preview
2020-12-08 vs Nicholls Colonels - Preview
2020-12-09 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 83 - 52
2020-12-13 vs Texas Longhorns - Preview
2020-12-15 vs Tarleton State Texans - Preview
2020-12-19 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 100 - 69
2020-12-21 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 99 - 42
2020-12-29 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 93 - 56
2020-12-30 vs Alcorn State Braves W 105 - 76
2021-01-02 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 76 - 65
2021-01-06 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 76 - 61
2021-01-09 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 67 - 49
2021-01-12 vs West Virginia Mountaineers - Preview
2021-01-16 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 68 - 60
2021-01-18 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 77 - 69
2021-01-23 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 81 - 66
2021-01-27 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 107 - 59
2021-01-30 vs Auburn Tigers W 84 - 72
2021-02-02 @ Texas Longhorns W 83 - 69
2021-02-06 vs TCU Horned Frogs - Preview
2021-02-10 @ Oklahoma Sooners - Preview
2021-02-13 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders - Postponed
2021-02-15 @ West Virginia Mountaineers - Postponed
2021-02-20 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys - Postponed
2021-02-23 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 77 - 72
2021-02-25 vs West Virginia Mountaineers - Preview
2021-02-27 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 58 - 71
2021-03-02 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 94 - 89
2021-03-04 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 81 - 70
2021-03-07 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 88 - 73
2021-03-11 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 74 - 68
2021-03-12 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 74 - 83
2021-03-19 vs Hartford Hawks W 79 - 55
2021-03-21 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 76 - 63
2021-03-27 vs Villanova Wildcats W 62 - 51
2021-03-29 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 81 - 72
2021-04-03 vs Houston Cougars W 78 - 59
2021-04-05 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs W 86 - 70

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jared Butler Jared Butler - 25 30.6 17.1 3.3 4.8 2.0 0.3 2.8 12.5 12.1 425 28 15.2 20.2 47.9 42.9 76.3 4.96 61.6 58.9
MaCio Teague MaCio Teague G 25 31.8 15.4 4.0 1.8 0.9 0.4 1.0 12.2 9.3 399 28 14.2 18.3 47.2 37.4 83.6 3.84 58.0 54.8
Davion Mitchell Davion Mitchell - 25 33.4 13.8 2.5 5.2 1.8 0.4 2.6 10.8 10.4 449 28 16.0 19.7 48.9 40.7 65.3 4.58 59.3 58.1
Adam Flagler Adam Flagler - 23 22.2 8.3 2.0 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.7 6.2 5.6 221 26 8.5 15.2 43.0 43.4 87.2 0.55 60.3 55.6
Matthew Mayer Matthew Mayer - 25 15.9 8.1 3.8 1.0 1.3 0.2 1.1 6.1 7.1 219 28 7.8 20.4 50.0 38.1 63.4 1.51 59.4 57.9
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua - 24 19.2 6.2 4.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 4.5 7.0 237 27 8.8 18.2 57.8 0 75.9 1.8 60.8 57.8
Mark Vital Mark Vital G 25 23.6 5.6 6.7 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8 4.8 10.0 232 28 8.3 14.6 50.4 0.0 47.6 -1.71 50.9 50.4
Flo Thamba Flo Thamba - 25 15.3 3.8 4.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 2.4 5.9 255 28 9.1 24.4 58.3 0 65.8 3.81 61.9 58.3
Lj Cryer Lj Cryer - 16 9.9 2.8 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.6 1.2 81 18 4.5 16.7 33.3 29.4 60.0 -0.95 47.4 45.2
Zach Loveday Zach Loveday - 10 4.9 2.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 1.6 2.5 -15 12 -1.2 -10.5 68.8 50.0 75.0 -3.73 73.2 71.9
Jordan Turner Jordan Turner F 9 5.1 2.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 2.2 -10 11 -0.9 -7.8 29.4 62.5 83.3 -3.61 50.9 44.1
Mar. Paterson Mar. Paterson G 10 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.1 -21 11 -1.9 -38.1 60.0 100.0 0 -3.51 65.0 65.0
Jackson Moffatt Jackson Moffatt G 10 2.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 -0.3 -22 11 -2.0 -38.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3.18 0.0 0.0
R. Elvin R. Elvin - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG