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2021-02-06

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Baylor Bears Spread
Elo 13.4% (#136) 86.6% (#30) -
Bradley-Terry 18.3% (#66) 81.7% (#3) -
Margin 17.5% (#38) 82.5% (#11) Baylor Bears -8.5
Pythagorean 1.1% (#101) 98.9% (#2) -
Efficiency 1.0% (#71) 99.0% (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% (#97) 99.0% (#1) -
Log Adjusted 1.0% (#97) 99.0% (#1) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat TCU Horned Frogs Baylor Bears
Games 9 23
PPG 57.2 82.3
FG% 39.9% 48.6%
3PT% 32.4% 39.9%
FT% 64.4% 72.0%
RPG 31.6 35.6
APG 11.4 16.7
SPG 5.7 9.1
BPG 2.0 3.9
TOPG 16.7 11.4

Efficiency Ratings

Metric TCU Horned Frogs Baylor Bears
Adj. Off Eff 92.8 114.0
Adj. Def Eff 107.2 86.0
Adj. Net Eff -14.4 27.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

TCU Horned Frogs Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
RJ Nembhard 12.3 4.3 3.7 0.8 0.2 34.8
M. Miles Jr. 10.0 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.1 33.9
PJ Fuller II 5.2 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.1 26.6
K. Samuel 6.8 5.8 0.7 1.0 0.9 22.8
C. O'Bannon Jr. 7.0 3.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 17.9

Baylor Bears Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
D. Mitchell 13.8 2.5 5.2 1.8 0.4 33.4
M. Teague 15.4 4.0 1.8 0.9 0.4 31.8
Ja. Butler 17.1 3.3 4.8 2.0 0.3 30.6
M. Vital 5.6 6.7 1.4 1.0 0.9 23.6
A. Flagler 8.3 2.0 1.2 0.9 0.0 22.2