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Nicholls Colonels 18-7
@
2020-12-08
Baylor Bears 28-2

Model Predictions

Model Nicholls Colonels Baylor Bears Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 2.0% (#150) 98.0% (#2) Baylor Bears -26.0 58-84
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 7.3% (#121) 92.7% (#2) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 0.5% (#197) 99.5% (#2) Baylor Bears -29.4 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 37.2% (#97) 62.8% (#3) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#217) 99.0% (#2) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#219) 99.0% (#2) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 7.3% (#200) 92.7% (#2) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Nicholls Colonels Baylor Bears
Games 2 28
PPG 68.5 83.3
FG% 41.7% 48.7%
3PT% 25.6% 40.7%
FT% 72.2% 71.5%
RPG 39.5 35.8
APG 12.0 17.2
SPG 8.5 9.1
BPG 3.0 3.8
TOPG 14.5 11.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Nicholls Colonels Baylor Bears
Adj. Off Eff 97.1 116.5
Adj. Def Eff 102.9 83.5
Adj. Net Eff -5.9 32.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Nicholls Colonels Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Player #4278304 11.4 2.5 3.2 2.6 0.2 32.5
Ty Gordon 14.8 3.6 3.8 1.0 0.0 32.4
Andre Jones 10.6 4.6 3.1 1.0 0.4 26.0
Najee Garvin 13.4 7.1 0.7 0.9 0.3 25.9
Ryghe Lyons 7.9 5.8 0.6 0.8 1.7 21.4

Baylor Bears Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Davion Mitchell 13.9 2.7 5.4 1.9 0.3 32.9
MaCio Teague 15.9 4.0 1.7 0.8 0.4 31.7
Jared Butler 16.7 3.3 4.8 2.0 0.4 30.4
Mark Vital 5.6 6.7 1.4 1.1 0.9 23.4
Adam Flagler 9.1 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.0 22.8