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2020-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Baylor Bears Spread
Elo 59.6% (#14) 40.4% (#30) -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% (#1) 49.6% (#3) -
Margin 53.3% (#2) 46.7% (#11) Gonzaga... -0.7
Pythagorean 47.2% (#1) 52.8% (#2) -
Efficiency 37.6% (#7) 62.4% (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.9% (#2) 57.1% (#1) -
Log Adjusted 42.8% (#2) 57.2% (#1) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Gonzaga Bulldogs Baylor Bears
Games 29 23
PPG 90.8 82.3
FG% 54.9% 48.6%
3PT% 37.5% 39.9%
FT% 73.0% 72.0%
RPG 37.1 35.6
APG 18.8 16.7
SPG 7.9 9.1
BPG 2.9 3.9
TOPG 11.9 11.4

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Gonzaga Bulldogs Baylor Bears
Adj. Off Eff 113.4 114.0
Adj. Def Eff 86.6 86.0
Adj. Net Eff 26.8 27.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Gonzaga Bulldogs Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
C. Kispert 18.2 5.0 1.9 0.9 0.4 31.7
J. Ayayi 11.9 6.8 2.7 0.9 0.2 31.1
A. Nembhard 8.9 2.4 4.4 1.1 0.1 29.8
J. Suggs 14.5 5.4 4.3 1.9 0.3 29.3
D. Timme 18.8 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.7 27.9

Baylor Bears Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
D. Mitchell 13.8 2.5 5.2 1.8 0.4 33.4
M. Teague 15.4 4.0 1.8 0.9 0.4 31.8
Ja. Butler 17.1 3.3 4.8 2.0 0.3 30.6
M. Vital 5.6 6.7 1.4 1.0 0.9 23.6
A. Flagler 8.3 2.0 1.2 0.9 0.0 22.2