Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -16 (70-86). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jared Butler * | 31 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| MaCio Teague * | 31 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Mark Vital * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Flo Thamba * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Adam Flagler | 22 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Matthew Mayer | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jackson Moffatt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Loveday | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L.J. Cryer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mar. Paterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Turner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 39 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Corey Kispert * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 33 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Joel Ayayi * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Anton Watson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Cook | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dominick Harris | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter