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2021-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -16 (70-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell 36 6-15 1-4 2-2 6 5 1 1 3 15 10 -
Z. Loveday 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
L.J. Cryer 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Teague * 31 8-15 2-3 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 19 6 -
J. Butler * 31 6-14 4-9 6-6 3 7 0 0 0 22 18 -
M. Vital * 27 3-7 0-1 0-0 11 2 2 1 0 6 15 -
F. Thamba * 16 0-3 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 1 3 6 -
A. Flagler 22 3-6 3-4 4-4 2 2 1 0 1 13 11 -
J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 6 7 -
M. Mayer 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Turner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mar. Paterson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Moffatt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Nembhard 39 2-5 0-3 5-8 4 4 0 0 2 9 10 -
C. Kispert 38 5-12 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 12 6 -
D. Harris 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Timme * 33 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 2 5 12 10 -
J. Suggs * 33 8-15 2-5 4-6 1 3 2 0 3 22 10 -
J. Ayayi * 31 3-5 0-1 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
A. Watson 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
A. Cook 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 0 1 -
B. Gregg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Strawther 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter