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Ball State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Ball State Cardinals, Ball State
Program History
Coach: James Whitford

2018 Team Stats (2 games)

76.5
PPG
76.5
Opp
+0.0
Margin
41.7%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
80.6%
FT%
43.0
RPG
11.0
APG
11.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.2
Adj PPG
72.7
Adj Opp PPG
#176
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1002 (#174) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1064 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 998 (#177) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -0.5 (#177) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -1.3 (#185) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.530 (#153) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.474 (#175) AdjNet -0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.473 (#175) AdjNet -0.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.491 (#176) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.489 (#184) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.480 (#178) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.480 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 31 More → 1027 (#150) RD 131 | GP 31

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Dayton Flyers L 77 - 78
2017-11-15 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 69 - 108
2017-11-17 vs Stony Brook Seawolves W 87 - 76
2017-11-19 @ Oregon Ducks L 71 - 95
2017-11-22 @ Bucknell Bison L 83 - 87
2017-11-25 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 93 - 85
2017-11-28 vs Oakland City Mighty Oaks W 81 - 57
2017-12-02 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 83 - 64
2017-12-05 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 80 - 77
2017-12-09 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 71 - 70
2017-12-19 vs North Florida Ospreys W 79 - 65
2017-12-22 vs Jackson State Tigers W 70 - 54
2017-12-29 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 75 - 54
2018-01-02 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 72 - 62
2018-01-06 vs Buffalo Bulls L 63 - 83
2018-01-09 @ Ohio Bobcats W 75 - 68
2018-01-13 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 58 - 73
2018-01-16 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 82 - 76
2018-01-20 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 53 - 71
2018-01-23 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 80 - 88
2018-01-27 vs Akron Zips W 111 - 106
2018-01-30 @ Toledo Rockets W 75 - 63
2018-02-03 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 41 - 58
2018-02-06 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 59 - 56
2018-02-09 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 87 - 68
2018-02-13 @ Akron Zips W 90 - 77
2018-02-17 vs Toledo Rockets W 99 - 71
2018-02-20 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 77 - 68
2018-02-23 vs Western Michigan Broncos L 80 - 87
2018-02-27 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 51 - 75
2018-03-02 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 65 - 66
2018-03-08 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 73 - 76

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tayler Persons Tayler Persons G 31 29.7 15.1 3.3 4.3 0.7 0.2 2.9 1.9 18.7 53 30 1.8 2.5 47.5 42.9 80.0 0.71 369.1 52.5
Tahjai Teague Tahjai Teague F 31 25.3 11.8 7.3 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.3 19.7 99 30 3.3 5.5 42.5 0.0 68.8 2.34 389.0 42.5
Trey Moses Trey Moses C 31 26.0 10.9 8.3 2.0 0.5 0.9 2.1 1.0 19.4 18 30 0.6 1.0 63.3 0.0 65.0 0.48 436.9 63.3
Kyle Mallers Kyle Mallers F 31 28.1 9.7 5.1 1.3 0.6 0.4 1.3 0.8 14.9 -1 30 0.0 -0.1 30.8 20.0 83.3 -2.39 527.2 36.5
Sean Sellers Sean Sellers G 31 26.8 8.1 4.3 1.1 0.6 0.4 1.1 0.8 12.5 89 30 3.0 4.6 34.6 31.6 88.9 2.5 418.9 46.2
Jontrell Walker Jontrell Walker G 14 22.7 7.9 1.3 2.1 0.6 0.2 1.7 0.4 10.0 29 12 2.4 4.5 20.0 0.0 0 1.23 1100.0 20.0
Jeremie Tyler Jeremie Tyler G 15 18.3 7.1 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 1.2 0.5 9.3 27 13 2.1 4.7 50.0 66.7 66.7 0.87 568.7 62.5
Zach Gunn Zach Gunn F 24 14.1 5.2 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.8 7.5 -64 24 -2.7 -8.0 31.6 42.9 50.0 -3.32 311.9 47.4
Ishmael El-Amin Ishmael El-Amin G 30 18.7 4.9 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 1.3 0.7 7.2 -7 29 -0.2 -0.5 25.0 20.0 83.3 -1.29 324.6 30.0
Francis Kiapway Francis Kiapway G 24 17.7 3.7 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 5.0 -127 23 -5.5 -13.9 33.3 42.9 0 -6.04 488.9 50.0
Josh Thompson Josh Thompson G 15 8.9 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.1 1.9 -19 14 -1.4 -5.3 100.0 100.0 66.7 -4.75 301.2 125.0
Tyler Leedy Tyler Leedy - 4 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Huggins B. Huggins C 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG