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Arizona

Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History

2006 Team Stats (16 games)

71.9
PPG
69.2
Opp
+2.6
Margin
43.7%
FG%
30.5%
3P%
66.8%
FT%
33.4
RPG
14.0
APG
13.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.1
Adj PPG
63.4
Adj Opp PPG
#19
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1178 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1190 (#48) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 1060 (#81) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +13.9 (#17) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +12.5 (#26) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.693 (#72) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.0 More โ†’ 0.927 (#16) AdjNet +22.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.3 More โ†’ 0.929 (#16) AdjNet +22.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 63.4 More โ†’ 0.761 (#19) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 63.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 67.2 More โ†’ 0.661 (#38) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 67.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.789 (#31) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.772 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1162 (#63) RD 104 | GP 33

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-21 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 61 - 49
2005-11-22 vs UConn Huskies L 70 - 79
2005-11-23 @ Michigan State Spartans L 71 - 74
2005-11-27 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 81 - 51
2005-12-03 @ Houston Cougars L 65 - 69
2005-12-08 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 75 - 66
2005-12-10 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 73 - 61
2005-12-17 @ Utah Utes W 73 - 43
2005-12-19 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 87 - 51
2005-12-21 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 86 - 81
2005-12-29 @ Washington State Cougars W 70 - 52
2005-12-31 @ Washington Huskies W 96 - 95
2006-01-05 vs UCLA Bruins L 79 - 85
2006-01-07 vs USC Trojans W 74 - 63
2006-01-12 @ Oregon State Beavers L 65 - 75
2006-01-14 @ Oregon Ducks L 68 - 73
2006-01-19 vs Stanford Cardinal W 90 - 81
2006-01-21 vs California Golden Bears W 60 - 55
2006-01-25 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 80 - 70
2006-01-28 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 69 - 86
2006-02-02 @ USC Trojans L 70 - 77
2006-02-04 @ UCLA Bruins L 73 - 84
2006-02-09 vs Oregon Ducks W 70 - 68
2006-02-11 vs Oregon State Beavers W 80 - 58
2006-02-16 @ California Golden Bears L 66 - 75
2006-02-19 @ Stanford Cardinal W 76 - 72
2006-02-25 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 68 - 47
2006-03-02 vs Washington State Cougars W 66 - 61
2006-03-04 vs Washington Huskies L 67 - 70
2006-03-09 vs Stanford Cardinal W 73 - 68
2006-03-10 @ UCLA Bruins L 59 - 71
2006-03-17 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 94 - 75
2006-03-19 @ Villanova Wildcats L 78 - 82

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.