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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 88.5% 11.5% -
Bradley-Terry 3.5% 96.5% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -
Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Log Adjusted 62.5% 37.5% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shakur * 38 8-13 2-4 1-1 3 0 4 1 2 19 12 -
C. Rodgers * 38 5-11 2-4 0-0 5 0 2 0 3 12 5 -
H. Adams * 36 6-16 0-1 3-7 4 3 1 1 3 15 5 -
I. Radenovic * 32 3-10 0-1 6-7 6 0 1 2 1 12 10 -
M. Williams * 29 4-8 1-1 1-2 7 2 1 0 1 10 11 -
J. McClellan 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
I. Fox 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Tangara 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Walters 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Dillon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks * 40 6-11 2-4 3-4 5 4 0 0 4 17 11 -
M. Hairston * 38 9-13 4-6 1-3 3 2 0 0 1 23 14 -
B. Taylor * 27 3-7 1-3 4-4 5 1 0 0 3 11 7 -
J. Kent * 27 0-0 0-0 0-1 4 3 1 0 1 0 7 -
A. Zahn * 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 2 0 -
B. Lincoln 28 4-7 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
I. Johnson 26 4-8 0-0 2-3 7 2 1 0 4 10 8 -

* = starter