Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (30.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +30 (81-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 5 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds * | 35 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -5 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas * | 32 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| M. Diane * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Joseph | 24 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Cain | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Campbell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Forkin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rodgers * | 31 | 8-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| H. Adams * | 29 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Shakur * | 21 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| K. Walters * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Brielmaier * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Williams | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| I. Fox | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Dillon | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J.P. Prince | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Tangara | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Bagga | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter