Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | +14.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (86-69). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustafa Shakur * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| K. Walters * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Ivan Radenovic * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| H. Adams * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Williams * | 27 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| J.P. Prince | 20 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| F. Onobun | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Tangara | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dillon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Fox | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 30 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| W. Miller * | 29 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Terry * | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Danny Green | 19 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Sanders | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| W. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Wilkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter