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2006-01-05

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 94.9% 5.1% -
Margin 53.2% 46.8% -0.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.7% 28.3% -
Log Adjusted 71.7% 28.3% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats -6 (79-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Mbah a Moute * 36 3-4 0-0 2-3 9 3 1 0 1 8 16 -
A. Afflalo * 32 9-12 3-6 1-2 3 2 0 0 6 22 9 -
J. Shipp * 31 5-10 2-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 14 10 -
J. Farmar * 24 3-8 0-2 5-6 1 4 1 0 6 11 3 -
L. Mata-Real * 19 3-4 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 1 0 9 14 -
D. Collison 30 3-6 0-1 3-4 0 3 2 0 4 9 4 -
R. Wright 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
A. Aboya 7 2-2 0-0 1-3 0 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
M. Roll 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Rodgers * 38 4-7 1-3 3-3 3 2 5 0 3 12 12 -
H. Adams * 37 9-20 0-2 3-3 5 6 4 0 4 21 12 -
M. Williams * 35 6-11 1-1 6-7 3 3 0 0 2 19 12 -
I. Radenovic * 35 7-10 0-0 3-3 8 3 0 0 3 17 15 -
M. Shakur * 26 0-3 0-2 0-2 2 5 0 1 4 0 1 -
K. Walters 15 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
J.P. Prince 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Dillon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Brielmaier 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter