🐻⬇️🏀

American University

Also known as: American University Eagles
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

53.3
PPG
63.9
Opp
-6.1
Margin
35.2%
FG%
39.6%
3P%
64.1%
FT%
29.0
RPG
11.7
APG
7.7
TO
67.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1189 (#229) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1145 (#268) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 875 (#572) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +16.6 (#313) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +1.3 (#292) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -29.5 More → 0.038 (#265) NetEff -29.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 62.7 More → 0.411 (#501) AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 62.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.432 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.411 (#346) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 159 | GP 30 More → 843 (#509) RD 159 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 36 - 72
2012-11-12 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats W 61 - 55
2012-11-15 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 62 - 57
2012-11-19 vs San Francisco Dons L 53 - 67
2012-11-24 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 55 - 58
2012-11-28 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 55 - 74
2012-12-01 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 61 - 51
2012-12-04 @ Howard Bison L 50 - 55
2012-12-06 @ UMBC Retrievers W 73 - 70
2012-12-09 vs Columbia Lions L 42 - 54
2012-12-18 @ Hampton Pirates L 65 - 72
2012-12-22 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 48 - 65
2012-12-29 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 57 - 89
2013-01-03 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 63 - 49
2013-01-06 vs Cornell Big Red L 60 - 68
2013-01-12 @ Colgate Raiders W 72 - 63
2013-01-16 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 57 - 63
2013-01-19 @ Holy Cross Crusaders L 60 - 79
2013-01-23 vs Navy Midshipmen W 72 - 49
2013-01-26 @ Army Black Knights L 64 - 77
2013-01-30 vs Bucknell Bison L 55 - 56
2013-02-02 vs Lafayette Leopards W 68 - 64
2013-02-09 vs Colgate Raiders W 70 - 55
2013-02-13 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 47 - 60
2013-02-17 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 64 - 61
2013-02-20 @ Navy Midshipmen L 44 - 50
2013-02-23 vs Army Black Knights L 58 - 72
2013-02-27 @ Bucknell Bison L 47 - 66
2013-03-02 @ Lafayette Leopards L 72 - 80
2013-03-06 @ Army Black Knights L 44 - 65

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Lumpkins S. Lumpkins F 30 33.3 14.2 9.4 1.5 0.6 1.0 2.4 2.2 22.1 -155 -5.3 -6.9 54.5 0.0 84.6 -0.49 239.6 54.5
D. Munoz D. Munoz G 30 36.3 10.3 2.4 3.6 0.6 0.1 2.6 2.0 12.3 -144 -4.5 -6.8 33.3 28.6 87.0 -0.38 220.3 36.7
J. Schoof J. Schoof G 30 36.2 9.6 2.6 2.5 0.4 0.1 1.8 1.1 12.2 -115 -4.0 -5.3 50.0 70.0 100.0 0.18 402.7 70.6
T. Wroblicky T. Wroblicky C 30 23.6 7.8 6.1 0.7 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.5 13.3 -100 -3.4 -6.5 43.2 0 29.4 -0.16 226.3 43.2
B. Jolivette B. Jolivette G 20 27.6 6.6 2.4 1.8 0.6 0.0 1.7 1.1 8.6 -61 -3.2 -5.0 42.9 100.0 0 -0.12 314.3 47.6
M. Bersch M. Bersch F 26 19.2 4.0 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.4 5.2 -152 -6.1 -10.8 43.2 51.7 0 -1.2 139.2 63.5
J. Reed J. Reed G 28 14.0 3.7 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.7 5.2 2 0.1 0.1 25.0 23.1 50.0 0.46 213.1 32.5
M. Vasic M. Vasic F 15 8.4 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.3 -23 -1.4 -5.1 30.8 42.9 0 0.11 157.7 42.3
A. Carroll A. Carroll C 23 14.4 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.7 3.0 -92 -4.2 -9.6 6.7 0.0 0 -0.74 160.0 6.7
D. Fisher D. Fisher F 12 9.8 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.9 -37 -3.1 -9.6 25.0 0 0.0 -0.39 225.4 25.0
K. Kager K. Kager F 20 7.5 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 2.9 -46 -2.6 -10.4 33.3 100.0 0 -0.34 400.0 50.0
Z. Elcano Z. Elcano C 10 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 -25 -2.5 -20.5 50.0 0 0 -0.2 125.0 50.0
W. Flood Jr. W. Flood Jr. G 4 2.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.21 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG