American University
2013 Team Stats (3 games)
53.3
PPG
63.9
Opp
-6.1
Margin
35.2%
FG%
39.6%
3P%
64.1%
FT%
29.0
RPG
11.7
APG
7.7
TO
67.4
Pace
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1189 (#229) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1145 (#268) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 875 (#572) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.6 (#313) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.3 (#292) | HCA +3.3 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.038 (#265) | NetEff -29.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.411 (#501) | AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 62.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.432 (#332) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.411 (#346) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 843 (#509) | RD 159 | GP 30 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Lumpkins
|
F | 30 | 33.3 | 14.2 | 9.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 22.1 | -155 | -5.3 | -6.9 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 84.6 | -0.49 | 239.6 | 54.5 |
D. Munoz
|
G | 30 | 36.3 | 10.3 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 12.3 | -144 | -4.5 | -6.8 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 87.0 | -0.38 | 220.3 | 36.7 |
J. Schoof
|
G | 30 | 36.2 | 9.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 12.2 | -115 | -4.0 | -5.3 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 402.7 | 70.6 |
T. Wroblicky
|
C | 30 | 23.6 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 13.3 | -100 | -3.4 | -6.5 | 43.2 | 0 | 29.4 | -0.16 | 226.3 | 43.2 |
B. Jolivette
|
G | 20 | 27.6 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 8.6 | -61 | -3.2 | -5.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.12 | 314.3 | 47.6 |
M. Bersch
|
F | 26 | 19.2 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5.2 | -152 | -6.1 | -10.8 | 43.2 | 51.7 | 0 | -1.2 | 139.2 | 63.5 |
J. Reed
|
G | 28 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 5.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 25.0 | 23.1 | 50.0 | 0.46 | 213.1 | 32.5 |
M. Vasic
|
F | 15 | 8.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 3.3 | -23 | -1.4 | -5.1 | 30.8 | 42.9 | 0 | 0.11 | 157.7 | 42.3 |
A. Carroll
|
C | 23 | 14.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | -92 | -4.2 | -9.6 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.74 | 160.0 | 6.7 |
D. Fisher
|
F | 12 | 9.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | -37 | -3.1 | -9.6 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.39 | 225.4 | 25.0 |
K. Kager
|
F | 20 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.9 | -46 | -2.6 | -10.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 400.0 | 50.0 |
Z. Elcano
|
C | 10 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -25 | -2.5 | -20.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 125.0 | 50.0 |
W. Flood Jr.
|
G | 4 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG