Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.5% | 26.5% | -6.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +5 (62-57). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Norfleet | 33 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +10.0 |
| Josh Castellanos | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Rashad Whack | 30 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -8.5 |
| Sam Prescott | 22 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Xavier Owens | 21 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Taylor Danaher | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Raven Barber | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -5.7 |
| Shivaughn Wiggins | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.1 |
| Kristijan Krajina | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Kelvin Parker | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Oliver Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Munoz | 37 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | +10.1 |
| John Schoof | 35 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Stephen Lumpkins | 34 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 27 | +4.8 |
| Mike Bersch | 28 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +9.0 |
| Tony Wroblicky | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -6.3 |
| Jesse Reed | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Austin Carroll | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3 | -6.3 |
| Kyle Kager | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Daniel Fisher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
* = starter