Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | -0.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schoof * | 50 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Daniel Munoz * | 48 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Stephen Lumpkins * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Mike Bersch * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Austin Carroll | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jesse Reed | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #61948 * | 49 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Cook * | 47 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 31 | - |
| Chase Plummer * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 32 | - |
| Brett Roseboro * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Brian Neller * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Adrian Satchell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Player #61947 | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter