Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Army Black Knights +13 (77-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schoof * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Munoz * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Lumpkins * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Blake Jolivette * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Jesse Reed | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Austin Carroll | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Kager | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marko Vasic | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Wilson * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Dylan Cox * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Toth * | 27 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Larry Toomey * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Ferguson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ella Ellis | 23 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Stire | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Cartavious Kincade | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Maxwell Lenox | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Matt Gramling | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mo Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Springer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter