Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +23 (72-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tilman Dunbar * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kendall Knorr * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Worth Smith * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Venturini * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jared Smoot * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Alter | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| James Loupos | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jerome Alexander | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Will Kelly | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Thurgood Wynn | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brennan Wyatt | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Donya Jackson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Phil Guglielmo | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Spadaford | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Earl McLaurin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schoof * | 35 | 9-12 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Stephen Lumpkins * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Blake Jolivette * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Munoz * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jesse Reed | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Austin Carroll | 15 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Kager | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marko Vasic | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zach Elcano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter