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Alcorn State

Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

44.0
PPG
56.0
Opp
-12.0
Margin
32.7%
FG%
27.3%
3P%
50.0%
FT%
32.0
RPG
6.0
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.3
Adj PPG
72.7
Adj Opp PPG
#337
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 630 (#327) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 728 (#323) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 927 (#270) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -16.7 (#338) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -12.4 (#319) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.158 (#312) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.1 More โ†’ 0.042 (#343) AdjNet -27.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.5 More โ†’ 0.040 (#343) AdjNet -27.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 72.7 More โ†’ 0.197 (#337) AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 67.4 More โ†’ 0.377 (#284) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.157 (#329) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.183 (#325) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 26 More โ†’ 689 (#330) RD 133 | GP 26

2012 Schedule & Results

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Baker M. Baker G 3 27.7 14.7 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 14.3 - - - - 16.7 0.0 33.3 -2.77 300.5 16.7
Anthony Nieves Anthony Nieves G 12 26.5 11.1 3.8 1.8 1.1 0.1 2.7 0.0 15.1 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.77 0 0
Twann Oakley Twann Oakley G 26 31.0 10.6 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.1 1.8 3.2 10.7 -131 10 -13.1 -22.2 34.9 34.8 62.5 -3.25 147.5 44.6
Kendrick McDonald Kendrick McDonald G 29 28.0 10.4 2.8 1.2 1.5 0.1 1.7 3.0 11.3 -133 12 -11.1 -21.9 41.4 10.0 70.0 -5.36 150.7 42.0
Xavian Rimmer Xavian Rimmer G 29 27.9 8.4 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.0 2.2 2.1 8.8 -107 12 -8.9 -15.5 41.0 33.3 81.6 -0.04 157.0 45.9
Chris Brand Chris Brand F 9 22.0 7.7 4.4 0.9 0.8 2.0 2.0 2.2 11.6 -62 5 -12.4 -25.6 20.0 25.0 50.0 -2.09 152.4 22.5
Ian Francis Ian Francis F 28 23.7 6.6 5.5 1.1 0.7 0.6 1.6 1.8 11.1 -81 12 -6.8 -12.2 46.9 0 68.4 2.1 161.3 46.9
KeDorian Sullivan KeDorian Sullivan F 29 20.8 5.8 4.6 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.6 9.4 -111 12 -9.2 -25.3 59.6 100.0 57.1 -5.25 150.2 60.6
JaMichael Hawkins JaMichael Hawkins G 24 18.5 5.3 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.4 3.3 3.5 -111 10 -11.1 -25.8 30.0 23.5 78.9 -4.21 72.4 35.0
Martrevious Sanders Martrevious Sanders G 15 15.8 4.5 2.5 2.5 0.9 0.1 1.5 0.1 8.9 -6 6 -1.0 -3.0 0.0 0 0 -0.58 3350.0 0.0
Michael Starks Michael Starks F 29 16.1 3.7 3.9 0.1 0.2 1.1 0.9 1.0 7.1 -77 12 -6.4 -15.6 57.1 0 50.0 -2.71 146.7 57.1
Jarvis Moore Jarvis Moore G 20 14.0 2.9 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.8 2.1 2.6 -57 8 -7.1 -26.9 33.3 37.5 100.0 -3.44 67.6 36.9
Tyson Tufono Tyson Tufono G 19 4.3 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 -35 6 -5.8 -59.8 44.4 50.0 0 -4.5 77.8 66.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG