Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +15 (78-63). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twan Oakley * | 32 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Kendrick McDonald * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Xavian Rimmer * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Nieves * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Michael Starks * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Martrevious Sanders | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Ian Francis | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| KeDorian Sullivan | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Devon Francis | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Tufono | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephawn Brown * | 38 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jeffery Middlebrooks * | 37 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Ivory White * | 35 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Phillip Crawford * | 32 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Tramaine Butler * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 15 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Luther Page | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Price | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Mason | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter