Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | -1.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves +20 (60-40). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Doggett | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jameel Grace | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Derick Beltran | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Fredrick Coleman | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Michael Celestin | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Marshall | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Monroe | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Neal Webb | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Madut Bol | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Russell Hill | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick McDonald | 37 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Twan Oakley | 34 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Nieves | 29 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Xavian Rimmer | 28 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| KeDorian Sullivan | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ian Francis | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Martrevious Sanders | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Starks | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Devon Francis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter