Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | -0.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves +8 (66-58). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savalace Townsend | 40 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Lazabian Jackson | 33 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Mitchell Anderson | 30 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Broughton | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Clay Johnson | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rontrell Bailey | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jamar Harris | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Edward Buford | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jaylon Floyd | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lavoris Weathers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Demetrius Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick McDonald | 33 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Xavian Rimmer | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Twan Oakley | 29 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Nieves | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ian Francis | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Martrevious Sanders | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Michael Starks | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| KeDorian Sullivan | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Tufono | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter