Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.3% | 97.7% | +24.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +31 (80-49). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick McDonald * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| JaMichael Hawkins * | 33 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Xavian Rimmer * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Ian Francis * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Starks * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Twan Oakley | 25 | 0-10 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| KeDorian Sullivan | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jarvis Moore | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Tufono | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marquiz Baker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelo Johnson * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| LaShay Page * | 26 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Bolden * | 19 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Rashard McGill * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Torye Pelham * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Mills | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Neil Watson | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Darnell Dodson | 25 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Cedric Jenkins | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Richard Carlisle | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alahjah Franklin | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter