Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | +0.7 | ✗ (2.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | -4.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers -2 (55-57). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavian Rimmer | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Twan Oakley | 36 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Kendrick McDonald | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Nieves | 28 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Michael Starks | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| KeDorian Sullivan | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Martrevious Sanders | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| JaMichael Hawkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyson Tufono | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Roberson | 36 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Xavier Rogers | 31 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Quincy Roberts | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Rondale Livas | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| David Copeland | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Dorsett | 24 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Bryant Purvis | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Demetri Wheeler | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Steven Danridge | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter