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Alabama

Also known as: Alabama Crimson Tide, Alabama
Program History

2019 Team Stats (18 games)

70.8
PPG
72.5
Opp
-1.7
Margin
42.9%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
65.2%
FT%
38.7
RPG
12.0
APG
13.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.2
Adj PPG
66.3
Adj Opp PPG
#63
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1142 (#72) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 982 (#193) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +8.8 (#62) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +6.8 (#75) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.518 (#172) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.4 More โ†’ 0.806 (#63) AdjNet +12.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.5 More โ†’ 0.808 (#64) AdjNet +12.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 66.3 More โ†’ 0.672 (#63) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 66.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 67.5 More โ†’ 0.551 (#116) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 67.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.660 (#78) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.637 (#86) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1111 (#88) RD 112 | GP 34

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Southern Jaguars W 82 - 62
2018-11-11 vs App State Mountaineers W 81 - 73
2018-11-15 @ Northeastern Huskies L 52 - 68
2018-11-16 vs Ball State Cardinals W 79 - 61
2018-11-18 @ Wichita State Shockers W 90 - 86
2018-11-26 vs Murray State Racers W 78 - 72
2018-11-29 @ UCF Knights L 64 - 70
2018-12-04 vs Georgia State Panthers L 80 - 83
2018-12-09 vs Arizona Wildcats W 76 - 73
2018-12-18 vs Liberty Flames W 84 - 75
2018-12-21 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 73 - 64
2018-12-30 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 79 - 69
2019-01-05 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 77 - 75
2019-01-08 @ LSU Tigers L 79 - 88
2019-01-12 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 80 - 81
2019-01-16 @ Missouri Tigers W 70 - 60
2019-01-19 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 68 - 71
2019-01-22 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 74 - 53
2019-01-26 @ Baylor Bears L 68 - 73
2019-01-29 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 83 - 79
2019-02-02 @ Auburn Tigers L 63 - 84
2019-02-06 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 89 - 74
2019-02-09 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 77 - 67
2019-02-12 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 62 - 81
2019-02-16 vs Florida Gators L 53 - 71
2019-02-19 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 56 - 65
2019-02-23 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 68 - 61
2019-02-26 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 68 - 62
2019-03-02 vs LSU Tigers L 69 - 74
2019-03-05 vs Auburn Tigers L 60 - 66
2019-03-09 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 70 - 82
2019-03-14 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 62 - 57
2019-03-15 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 55 - 73
2019-03-20 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 79 - 80

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kira Lewis Kira Lewis - 34 31.6 13.5 2.6 2.9 0.8 0.3 2.2 6.9 10.9 85 30 2.8 3.9 42.8 35.7 76.8 2.82 84.2 50.2
Donta Hall Donta Hall - 34 26.8 10.5 8.8 0.5 0.5 1.6 1.1 3.7 17.1 103 30 3.4 5.6 63.8 100.0 72.7 4.42 107.4 64.2
John Petty John Petty G 34 28.9 10.2 4.2 1.9 0.5 0.4 2.0 5.7 9.6 73 30 2.4 3.8 43.1 37.8 71.1 2.24 81.0 54.6
Tevin Mack Tevin Mack G 34 20.6 9.0 3.3 0.8 0.3 0.5 1.4 5.1 7.4 -12 30 -0.4 -0.8 41.6 33.0 48.0 -2.15 83.2 50.0
Dazon Ingram Dazon Ingram G 32 22.2 7.1 3.8 2.6 0.5 0.1 2.0 3.1 9.0 9 30 0.3 0.6 40.4 39.5 69.1 -0.68 87.7 48.0
Herb Jones Herb Jones - 34 21.1 6.4 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.6 2.0 3.4 7.9 51 30 1.7 3.6 44.4 38.5 47.6 0.68 74.6 46.6
Riley Norris Riley Norris G 26 20.0 6.3 3.8 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 3.8 7.2 -5 24 -0.2 -0.5 33.7 29.0 81.2 -1.88 73.2 42.9
Alex Reese Alex Reese - 28 13.3 6.3 2.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.9 3.6 5.6 -18 24 -0.8 -2.7 39.6 35.8 76.7 -0.55 73.4 49.0
Galin Smith Galin Smith F 30 13.0 3.8 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.6 -34 25 -1.4 -4.6 49.2 0 39.4 -1.27 77.5 49.2
Daniel Giddens Daniel Giddens C 14 8.2 1.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.5 6 12 0.5 2.5 31.6 0.0 38.5 -0.43 54.6 31.6
Avery Johnson Avery Johnson G 32 9.7 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 -45 28 -1.6 -8.1 28.2 7.7 100.0 -2.24 68.4 29.5
Lawson Schaffer Lawson Schaffer G 9 1.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.2 -8 7 -1.1 -32.8 0.0 0.0 0 -1.89 0.0 0.0
Tyler Barnes Tyler Barnes F 4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.02 0.0 0.0
Britton Johnson Britton Johnson G 4 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.03 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG