Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +6 (70-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis Jr. * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Petty Jr. * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| H. Jones * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Hall * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| G. Smith * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Reese | 28 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| D. Ingram | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| T. Mack | 14 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Johnson Jr. | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Giddens | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Taylor * | 37 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 9-11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| A. Dawkins * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 10-10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| T. Allen * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Smith * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| T. Fall * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Brown | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D. Griffin | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. DeJesus | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Bertz | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter