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2019-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% -
Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% -
Log Adjusted 8.4% 91.6% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +18 (73-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lewis Jr. * 27 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 3 2 -
D. Hall * 27 3-9 0-0 8-8 6 0 0 1 1 14 11 -
G. Smith * 22 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
R. Norris * 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 2 3 -
H. Jones * 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
J. Petty Jr. 27 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 5 0 -
D. Ingram 25 1-4 1-2 6-7 6 2 0 1 0 9 14 -
A. Reese 21 6-12 3-6 0-2 6 0 0 0 1 15 8 -
T. Mack 17 0-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 -4 -
A. Johnson Jr. 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Barnes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Schaffer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Herro * 36 8-14 2-4 2-2 6 2 2 1 3 20 14 -
PJ Washington * 35 4-12 1-3 1-3 12 4 2 4 2 10 18 -
A. Hagans * 29 1-6 0-2 0-0 6 6 1 0 1 2 8 -
K. Johnson * 22 1-7 0-1 2-2 3 1 3 1 2 4 3 -
EJ Montgomery * 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 2 4 -
R. Travis 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 3 1 8 11 -
I. Quickley 18 4-4 3-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
J. Baker 14 2-3 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
N. Richards 12 3-4 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 1 9 8 -
J. David 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter